Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.170162 3.538651 3.937508 4.402091 4.929336 5.510214 6.200159
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.652079 3.145667 3.717581 4.432189 5.305298 6.342530 7.675731
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.318706 2.877544 3.559003 4.457233 5.619021 7.083129 9.087106
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.076829 2.673102 3.430947 4.474587 5.889709 7.763571 10.469128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.845908 2.448495 3.241119 4.373415 5.971218 8.178240 11.515154
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.686415 2.297628 3.126623 4.350601 6.141417 8.712499 12.769083
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.547401 2.158995 3.011499 4.308059 6.268218 9.183391 13.966912
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.490588 2.129254 3.043982 4.477004 6.716038 10.167104 16.061885
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.394629 2.033087 2.969271 4.474281 6.894784 10.745276 17.561935
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.302387 1.934225 2.880890 4.439428 7.014155 11.232546 18.956220
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.172167 1.767470 2.675289 4.199471 6.773961 11.096773 19.238198
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.111764 1.704608 2.626443 4.208122 6.946525 11.672550 20.860815
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.073684 1.675886 2.632027 4.311419 7.297886 12.608698 23.300891
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.023525 1.623992 2.595865 4.340242 7.520455 13.336459 25.437676
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.976990 1.574526 2.559541 4.364582 7.735285 14.069325 27.678948
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.933187 1.526384 2.521461 4.381506 7.935954 14.792932 29.994620
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.873785 1.447554 2.424632 4.282692 7.905268 15.055870 31.351156
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.831722 1.395954 2.371724 4.260410 8.019811 15.619462 33.443828
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.790033 1.342333 2.311440 4.218859 8.091001 16.098564 35.405920
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.781284 1.346875 2.356562 4.383860 8.597477 17.552965 39.881322
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.749652 1.307805 2.318419 4.381200 8.753053 18.258990 42.634610
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.716074 1.263128 2.266802 4.347163 8.837834 18.814336 45.087698
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.659435 1.172360 2.122262 4.112796 8.466090 18.287384 44.652788